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Energie & Management > Commentary - Market - Return of the bull?
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Commentary

Market - Return of the bull?

The Wednesday market opened down on more moderate forecasts, but the downward movements lacked momentum and many contracts turned north again before noon. A Swedish trader argued that prices should start rising again soon to adjust to the fundamental deficit while a Norwegian trader said the market was more likely to head south when it breaks out of its current range.
“Yesterday’s dry forecast was a shock to many and helped push the market up a level. But I don’t think it is a sign we are in to a new trend. I will rather say we are in a range market now where the Summer 03 will trade between NOK/MWh 195 and NOK 215, possibly NOK 230 for some more time. Eventually I think it will break through on the downside as mild and wet weather trends,
Mittwoch, 5.02.2003, 12:04 Uhr
© 2024 Energie & Management GmbH
Mehr zum Thema
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E&M  Commentary
Donnerstag, 6.02.2003, 12:15
Market - No trend, no friend
After yesterday’s surprisingly high system price and consequent lift, the Thursday market fell back several NOKs as the weather outlooks are bearish. And while the GFS remains somewhat hysterically bearish, the EC is more modest. Facts are that only some 40% of average amounts of precipitation have been delivered so far this February, on top of the bad resource balance. Furthermore, without a trend the market remains sensitive and changeable.
Energie & Management > Commentary - Market - No trend, no friend
Donnerstag, 6.02.2003, 12:15
E&M  Commentary
Market - No trend, no friend
After yesterday’s surprisingly high system price and consequent lift, the Thursday market fell back several NOKs as the weather outlooks are bearish. And while the GFS remains somewhat hysterically bearish, the EC is more modest. Facts are that only some 40% of average amounts of precipitation have been delivered so far this February, on top of the bad resource balance. Furthermore, without a trend the market remains sensitive and changeable.
mehr
E&M  Commentary
Dienstag, 4.02.2003, 11:57
Market - Expensive chills?
The Tuesday morning market was bullish as the American weather forecasts were significantly more high-pressure friendly again. The EC prognosis was more modest, and despite the fact that the market is in a rather bearish state at the moment, the fear of the upside is still present, players said this morning. “It is faith, hope and love to believe in a long period of dry and cold weather now though,” one of them said.
Energie & Management > Commentary - Market - Expensive chills?
Dienstag, 4.02.2003, 11:57
E&M  Commentary
Market - Expensive chills?
The Tuesday morning market was bullish as the American weather forecasts were significantly more high-pressure friendly again. The EC prognosis was more modest, and despite the fact that the market is in a rather bearish state at the moment, the fear of the upside is still present, players said this morning. “It is faith, hope and love to believe in a long period of dry and cold weather now though,” one of them said.
Energie & Management > Commentary - Market - Return of the bull?
zurück
Commentary
Market - Return of the bull?
The Wednesday market opened down on more moderate forecasts, but the downward movements lacked momentum and many contracts turned north again before noon. A Swedish trader argued that prices should start rising again soon to adjust to the fundamental deficit while a Norwegian trader said the market was more likely to head south when it breaks out of its current range.
“Yesterday’s dry forecast was a shock to many and helped push the market up a level. But I don’t think it is a sign we are in to a new trend. I will rather say we are in a range market now where the Summer 03 will trade between NOK/MWh 195 and NOK 215, possibly NOK 230 for some more time. Eventually I think it will break through on the downside as mild and wet weather trends,
Mittwoch, 5.02.2003, 12:04 Uhr
© 2024 Energie & Management GmbH
Mehr zum Thema
mehr
E&M  Commentary
Donnerstag, 6.02.2003, 12:15
Market - No trend, no friend
After yesterday’s surprisingly high system price and consequent lift, the Thursday market fell back several NOKs as the weather outlooks are bearish. And while the GFS remains somewhat hysterically bearish, the EC is more modest. Facts are that only some 40% of average amounts of precipitation have been delivered so far this February, on top of the bad resource balance. Furthermore, without a trend the market remains sensitive and changeable.
Energie & Management > Commentary - Market - No trend, no friend
Donnerstag, 6.02.2003, 12:15
E&M  Commentary
Market - No trend, no friend
After yesterday’s surprisingly high system price and consequent lift, the Thursday market fell back several NOKs as the weather outlooks are bearish. And while the GFS remains somewhat hysterically bearish, the EC is more modest. Facts are that only some 40% of average amounts of precipitation have been delivered so far this February, on top of the bad resource balance. Furthermore, without a trend the market remains sensitive and changeable.
mehr
E&M  Commentary
Dienstag, 4.02.2003, 11:57
Market - Expensive chills?
The Tuesday morning market was bullish as the American weather forecasts were significantly more high-pressure friendly again. The EC prognosis was more modest, and despite the fact that the market is in a rather bearish state at the moment, the fear of the upside is still present, players said this morning. “It is faith, hope and love to believe in a long period of dry and cold weather now though,” one of them said.
Energie & Management > Commentary - Market - Expensive chills?
Dienstag, 4.02.2003, 11:57
E&M  Commentary
Market - Expensive chills?
The Tuesday morning market was bullish as the American weather forecasts were significantly more high-pressure friendly again. The EC prognosis was more modest, and despite the fact that the market is in a rather bearish state at the moment, the fear of the upside is still present, players said this morning. “It is faith, hope and love to believe in a long period of dry and cold weather now though,” one of them said.

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